New Ohio poll puts Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald TrumpHot Buzz

October 13, 2016 13:35
New Ohio poll puts Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump

According to a statewide poll released today by Baldwin Wallace University in Berea, Democrat Hillary Clinton has a lead of 9 points over Republican Donald Trump in Ohio following the news of Trump's vulgar talk about women and after the second debate between the candidates .

Clinton leads Trump, 48 percent to 38 percent, with 14 percent unsure, in a direct match-up, the poll found. When the two minority party candidates are added to the mix - as they are on state ballots, Clinton leads by 9 percent, 43 percent to 34 percent.

The Baldwin Wallace Community Research Institute poll began at 11PM on Sunday, less than a half hour after the second debate concluded, and ended at 7 PM on Tuesday. It surveyed 1,152 likely voters across the state, with quotas to make sure that the survey sample matched up with the state's age and gender breakdowns. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percent.

Recent polls, which included much smaller samples and higher margins of error, mostly showed the race to be closer, with most showing Trump slightly ahead but the most recent showing Clinton in the lead. Those polls had been conducted before news broke about a video in which Trump described groping women and kissing them without permission.

Lauren Copeland, a political science professor at Baldwin Wallace, said in a news release, "When the polls showed Trump in the lead, some suggested that Ohio's importance in electoral politics might be declining. However, with less than four weeks to go until the general election, our results are consistent with other recent national polls, and suggest that scholars and pundits shouldn't write off Ohio's presidential predictive power just yet."

By Prakriti Neogi

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